Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 4.735867 5.249429 5.798246 6.428911 7.134291 7.899694 8.794164
2026-01-18 3.891068 4.595443 5.400914 6.392461 7.583455 8.971957 10.719235
2026-01-25 3.274042 4.074904 5.043689 6.307172 7.919264 9.917598 12.598343
2026-02-01 2.813974 3.661134 4.736050 6.209010 8.188921 10.777759 14.451322
2026-02-08 2.458981 3.324112 4.468178 6.105003 8.408233 11.565436 16.275707
2026-02-15 2.198945 3.075218 4.277437 6.065177 8.686643 12.437187 18.294630
2026-02-22 2.040325 2.943871 4.226283 6.202825 9.214781 13.700555 21.015752
2026-03-01 1.861311 2.761182 4.077595 6.172751 9.478016 14.582946 23.242457
2026-03-08 1.671565 2.541862 3.849909 5.992668 9.480386 15.047715 24.837215
2026-03-15 1.538089 2.394438 3.715011 5.938654 9.668108 15.813327 27.001534
2026-03-22 1.463049 2.330618 3.702678 6.076592 10.177999 17.152939 30.301438
2026-03-29 1.396373 2.273339 3.693828 6.215869 10.698535 18.556471 33.875336
2026-04-05 1.311400 2.180506 3.621345 6.244787 11.038937 19.697054 37.145195
2026-04-12 1.218515 2.066500 3.503315 6.182288 11.208173 20.545319 39.967239
2026-04-19 1.129772 1.952130 3.374598 6.087354 11.305702 21.266696 42.627249
2026-04-26 1.049127 1.845306 3.249879 5.986977 11.380293 21.947621 45.286725
2026-05-03 0.976008 1.746052 3.130314 5.884228 11.437596 22.596127 47.955595
2026-05-10 0.918339 1.670494 3.047869 5.844660 11.615174 23.504134 51.306041
2026-05-17 0.887634 1.642760 3.052406 5.976278 12.155070 25.223880 56.717333
2026-05-24 0.839604 1.578172 2.980970 5.947091 12.352517 26.227978 60.595763
2026-05-31 0.778979 1.484639 2.845824 5.773960 12.221787 26.493024 62.730504
2026-06-07 0.736775 1.424285 2.771681 5.722008 12.350690 27.352879 66.443074
2026-06-14 0.716949 1.407220 2.783290 5.854484 12.906250 29.256033 73.071567